Pages that I visit a lot.

2019-06-18

Sector collapse

When we were doing the Vulcanology trip to Tenerife, a couple of the stops were to examine the faults bounding the Guimar (SE coast) and Santa Cruz (N coast) collapses. Always worth thinking about, even without the fears stirred up by that Portsmouth (?) hazard research centre.
Well, Prof Ceiling Cat Emeritus has been posting about his current jaunt around Hawai'i, and one look at the geography of Oahu made me think "sector collapse" again.
Oh dear, that's not good looking. That looks like lumps of islands 10km by 20km which have broken off and slid over 50km down the seabed slope.
What does the profile look like? (following the white line in the bathymetry plot)
10km NE-SW by 20km NW-SE by 1.5km thick. That's a big chunk of rock. The tsunami that hit the Pacific coasts (and particularly the British Columbia to Washington section) would have been ... unhealthy to see. I wonder what the date was.

For comparison, here's the most recent slump from the North side of Tenerife.

(250m bathymetry contours, bolded at 1000m intervals, for all images) The characteristic "lumps on the sea floor" of a slump can be seen. In the profile you can estimate the thickness of the largest lump, though this slump seems to have fragmented more than the Hawai'i example above.
 To a first approximation, say 5km by 3km by 0.25km. More detailed mapping with sonar shows that a lot of the seabed has rough areas which are interpreted as earlier generations of slump. Upwards of 20 slumps have been identified around the Canaries archipelago. 
Probably the most recent slump around Tenerife (unless it has "gone" while I'm typing) is from the side of the island facing Gran Canaria.
 The profile shows how steeply the islands drop off away from the volcanic centres.
Note the level of the inter-island gap - 2.5km below sea level - compared to the abyssal plain to the North at over 3.5km below sea level. There is around a kilometre of fill in this gap which hasn't accumulated to the North.

 Since the turn of the millennium there has been considerable speculation about the possibility of major landslides from the flanks of volcanic islands in general, and the Canary archipelago in particular. While concern about the particular claims concerning a West-flank collapse of La Palma have somewhat abated, there are certainly major landslip features around ocean islands. The recent (22 December 2018) flank collapse of Anak Krakatoa in the Indonesian archipelago killed over 400 people, making the point that these things do indeed happen.  

2019-05-30

Slashdot submission : An alternative, but common, astronomical habitable zone

Another interesting paper caught my attention.

Yet another provocative paper emerges onto Arxiv from Harvard's Lingam and Loeb.

Today they estimate the volume of space occupied by habitable zones (regions where liquid water is stable) in brown dwarf not-quite stars. They find that it could be orders of magnitude greater than the volume in the atmospheres of Earth-size planets.

Brown dwarfs are masses of gas which are too small to sustain nuclear fusion (so, they're not stars), but can have a brief period of fusion of deuterium or lithium shortly after formation (so they're not planets ; the boundary size is under debate). After this burst of energy, they slowly cool, for billions of years. This leads to a large volume of the star's outer body — or atmosphere — with potentially attractive temperature and pressure. If the brown dwarf is orbiting with a larger star, there may be enough light to allow photosynthesis. Supply of chemicals is uncertain, but not impossible.

While this paper is speculative, the prospects for detecting such life by spectroscopy are plausible with observational instruments being designed at the moment.

Previous work on abiogenesis and the origin(s) of life has speculated that life could persist in the atmospheres of Venus and Jupiter, using comparable pressure-temperature arguments. In this respect, the proposal is more conventional.
I don't know what they're putting in the water at Harvard, but Abraham Loeb is producing a lot of interesting stuff over the last year or so. 
If Slashdot take up the submission, I'm expecting the nerd-claimants there to raise questions about the availability of chemical elements. I don't see that much of a problem, since the relatively gentle convection on Jupiter (driven by the heat release of helium settling down though the hydrogen) is enough to put interesting amounts of hydrocarbons, ammonia, sulphur compounds up to almost the tops of the clouds, producing the visible colour bands and belts of the planet. If anything, the convection on a brown dwarf would be stronger, bringing heavier elements to higher in the body's structure. (Like Jupiter, unlike Venus, it probably doesn't have a fluid-to solid "surface".)
There remains a "dilution problem", but life managed to get around that on Earth, so I don't see that as a killer argument. 
Quite similar arguments about internal temperatures were being knocked around when Brown and Batygin produced their "planet nine" proposal in early 2016, and people were trying to work out if it would be detectable in infra-red detectors. That Brown is now (2019) getting surveying time on the Subaru telescope says what the rest of the astronomical community thought about that. 
Planet Nine (BB2016 ; there are others in the literature) is estimated to be around 10 Earth-masses (about 1/32 Jupiter-masses) so will have cooled a lot faster than a Jupiter-mass planet, let alone a 30 Jupiter-mass (mid--range) brown dwarf. So that proposed planet isn't a credible life habitat. Well, it's less credible than Europa.

2019-04-18

Slashdot Submission, A second Interstellar object?

In the aftermath of the recognition of 1I/`Oumuamua as an object originating from outside the Solar system, people have been trawling through the archives for other possible similar events. One such archive is CNEOS, which incororates a list of fireballs - objects that have hit the Earth's atmosphere such as the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor, or the powerful event over Russian Kamchatka in December of last year.
Searching this database a small event (about 100tons TNT equivalent) of 2014 stood out - the orientation of it's path, time and date allowed it's trajectory to be worked out and back-tracked, showing that it probably came to Earth from outside the Solar system. Before entering the Solar system, the object had a velocity of some 43.8km/s with respect to the Sun and was slightly accelerated by the Earth's gravity before impact. When compared to the "Local Standard of Rest" (LSR, the vector of objects orbiting the galactic centre with the Sun), the object's computed speed was some 60km/s, and at This implies that it was never bound to the Sun. Unlike 1I/`Oumuamua, the bolide was also at a considerable angle to the LSR. If accepted as an interstellar object, this second such body starts to flesh out the size and frequency distribution of such events. The possible power-law distributions within these limits are compatible with the distribution of small Kuiper Belt Objects, which includes objects liable to be scattered from the Solar system in future stellar encounters.
The location of the fireball - above the Pacific Ocean NE of Papua New Guinea does not make finding remains very likely. However, the last word of the paper's Discussion is "panspermia" so "Aliens" graphics can be used.

I need to do a bathymetry for this one too.

Put onto Slashdot as a submission.

I've done the bathymetry. The red star shows the location of the fireball ; the white line is the line of the profile.

Data is from GMRT and CNEOS, plotted using www.GeoMapApp.org.

2019-04-11

Pleistocene Indonesian bathymetry

With the recent announcement of another quite old, non-human hominoid in SE Asia, once again people are asking questions about how such humanoids got there, as if these non-human animals were stupid, or incompetent, or ... whatever reason.
So, I did a bit of bathymetry work, since I've got tools to hand. I'm sure I'll use these again.
The common estimate for the decrease in sea level (compared to today) at the height of the last ice age, is 100m, so I've adjusted the rainbow colour scale to cover the 90-110m range ; anything deeper than that is marked in blue ; anything shallower is white ; present day exposed land is given an altitude palette.

Is Luzon isolated from the mainland by deep water? 

Bathymetry map SE Asia, 100m cut-off
On this first plot, there is an obvious wide gap to the north. It actually goes down to several km depth, but since you normally drown in the top few metres of water, that doesn't really matter. The minimum sea passage is several hundred kilometres. That's quite a challenge.

Phiippenes Bathymetry 100m cut-off
 Moving to the southern approach, the question is more complex. At a 100m lower sea level, there is no "dry" route to Luzon, but several of the channels are down in the few-tens of km width. These would certainly be easier for people to have crossed, regardless of their species. Whether that is how the Luzon hominids got in ... is at the moment a judgement call. But if I were looking for places to search for bone-bearing deposits, that's where I'd start. 

This next picture I just anticipate I'll need at some point. Constructed from the same data (GMRT) and with the same shading to differentiate 100m+ versus 100m- water depths, it shows the context of the Homo Floresiensis discovery site (Liang bua cave, my typo). You will note that at least one water crossing of about 30km or larger is needed to get from mainland Asia to Liang bua.
The sea to the north of the two Nusa islands is known as the Flores Sea, for which the species was named.

Plots done using GeoMapApp, www.geomapapp.org and the GMRT dataset they pick up.